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<!--Generated by Squarespace Site Server v5.11.81 (http://www.squarespace.com/) on Sun, 27 May 2012 23:52:30 GMT--><feed xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"><title>Markets</title><subtitle>Markets</subtitle><id>http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/</id><link rel="alternate" type="application/xhtml+xml" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/"/><link rel="self" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/atom.xml"/><updated>2012-05-11T18:26:48Z</updated><generator uri="http://www.squarespace.com/" version="Squarespace Site Server v5.11.81 (http://www.squarespace.com/)">Squarespace</generator><entry><title>An Economist Bubble?</title><id>http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/5/11/an-economist-bubble.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/5/11/an-economist-bubble.html"/><author><name>Stag Staff</name></author><published>2012-05-11T18:25:33Z</published><updated>2012-05-11T18:25:33Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>The market for talent is certainly <a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2012/05/10/battle-for-academic-economists-is-heating-up/?mod=wsj_share_twitter">heating up</a>:</p>
<blockquote>
<p><span>The moves suggest the battle for star economists is heating up. Economics powerhouses like Harvard and MIT have the resources and reputations to easily buy up the best talent. But up-and-coming departments &ldquo;need to make a bunch of hires at the same time, so that each [hire] will be confident there will be plenty of good people to work with,&rdquo; said Mr. Wolfers of the Wharton School. He and Ms. Stevenson plan to decide on their destination in coming weeks.</span></p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote>
<p><span>Established or not, economists are hot commodities. Last year, the average starting salary for new assistant economics professors was nearly $112,000 &ndash; the highest ever in inflation-adjusted terms and one of the highest across academic departments, according to the American Economic Association.</span></p>
</blockquote>]]></content></entry><entry><title>An 11 Year Old's Journey Into Game Theory</title><id>http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/5/8/an-11-year-olds-journey-into-game-theory.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/5/8/an-11-year-olds-journey-into-game-theory.html"/><author><name>Stag Staff</name></author><published>2012-05-08T16:15:36Z</published><updated>2012-05-08T16:15:36Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>The son of a game theorist learns from Stanford's new online experiment. &nbsp;The results are, to say the least, <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/joshuagans/2012/05/07/what-my-11-year-olds-stanford-course-taught-me-about-online-education/3/">interesting</a>:</p>
<blockquote>
<p><span>But he took his lessons to more unexpected, and depending upon how you look at it, somewhat disturbing places. At school, students were asked to form teams and go out onto the streets and raise money for kids with cancer. His team had to choose a location and that is where he informed me that he used his game theory. On their street they saw a homeless man (a comparative rarity in Toronto). He realised that the homeless man had already worked out what the best location for charitable contributions was. In this case, it was at a point next to a subway entrance and a Starbucks. He convinced his team that they could set up their own stand right there. Two things could happen, he explained to me. One is that the homeless man, moved away to come back another day. The other was that the homeless man stayed in which case he believed that his team would have edge in their claim as their cause was for other people and his was just for himself. In the end, the homeless man abandoned the post.</span></p>
</blockquote>]]></content></entry><entry><title>News Lives!</title><id>http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/5/4/news-lives.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/5/4/news-lives.html"/><author><name>Stag Staff</name></author><published>2012-05-04T17:25:56Z</published><updated>2012-05-04T17:25:56Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>At least as a <a href="http://www.poynter.org/latest-news/mediawire/171521/study-j-school-grads-unemployment-rate-better-than-average/">profession</a>. &nbsp;Journalism majors are above the median in terms of employment! &nbsp;Seems that this blog <strong><em>was</em>&nbsp;</strong>a good career move after all.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Perhaps we shouldn't be so surprised though. &nbsp;It's not like the<a href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/pursuits/2012/4/9/storytelling-and-the-human-condition.html"> demand for stories</a> is going to disappear anytime soon.</p>
<p>H/T Calbuzz</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Most Affordable Place to Live in the World!?</title><category term="Australia"/><category term="China"/><category term="Housing"/><id>http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/5/3/most-affordable-place-to-live-in-the-world.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/5/3/most-affordable-place-to-live-in-the-world.html"/><author><name>Stag Staff</name></author><published>2012-05-03T14:51:00Z</published><updated>2012-05-03T14:51:00Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf">The United States!</a></p>
<p>Atleast that's according to Demographia International's 8th Annual Survey. They measure affordability by the widely used&nbsp;&ldquo;Median Multiple&rdquo; (median house&nbsp;price divided by gross [before tax] annual median household income) across some 325 urban markets. &nbsp;I was mildly surprised to see that the US turns up as the most affordable place to live (save a few regional markets like say, San Francisco). &nbsp;</p>
<p>Perhaps what is most shocking though, is that the most expensive place to live is... Australia... ? &nbsp;I would never have guessed, but Down Under there is not even a single regional housing market that qualifies as affordable. &nbsp;Worse, all of those cities are not just unaffordable by the Median Multiple, but "severly unaffordable." &nbsp;</p>
<p>Lots of reasons why this is true, the most obvious being that Australia has been China's second hand man for bulk metals for over a decade.</p>
<p>Australia could be in for a disaster if China gets the hard landing so many are calling for now. &nbsp;Then again, it can never feel good to have such a big bet on a centrally planned economy. &nbsp;They don't exactly have great track records...</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Student Loans</title><category term="Education"/><category term="Student Loans"/><id>http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/26/student-loans.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/26/student-loans.html"/><author><name>Stag Staff</name></author><published>2012-04-26T13:11:32Z</published><updated>2012-04-26T13:11:32Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>Dear Reader,</p>
<p>Student Loans are again in the news; President Obama has suggested capping the interest on one kind of Federal loan at 3% instead of allowing it to go up to 6%.&nbsp; Many students can't pay back their debt and are demanding debt forgiveness.&nbsp; Major news outlets are covering the story ---&nbsp;<a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/47171658"> this article from CNBC is an example.&nbsp; </a></p>
<blockquote>
<p>And third is the question of how to keep future  graduates from accumulating a mountain of student loan debt just as  large, if not larger, than the one just leveled.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">It  is this third issue which perhaps is most pressing &mdash; and most vexing  &mdash;and which also offers the most opportunity for innovation. Levying an  &ldquo;education tax,&rdquo; making college free and assigning students to  institutions based on a lottery system? Abolishing &ldquo;college&rdquo; altogether  for more specialized trade institutions instead, while at the same time  requiring a &ldquo;gap year&rdquo; of liberal arts prior to entry? Offering  high-school grads the choice between student loans or business loans to  fund new ventures? These all seem ridiculous, but then so too is our  current state of affairs.</p>
</blockquote>
<p class="textBodyBlack">What is interesting is that the most reasonable proposal available for solving this problem in the future is so rarely discussed.&nbsp; There's a report out from Georgetown University on the <a href="http://cew.georgetown.edu/whatsitworth/">value of different majors</a>.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">The median engineering income: $75,000.&nbsp; The median mathematics major income: $70,000.&nbsp; With graduate degrees afterwards those go up to $99,000 and $89,000.&nbsp; Humanities and Liberal Arts?&nbsp; $47,000; Arts, $44,000, and Psychology and Social Work, $42,000.&nbsp; That is, of course, <a href="http://www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/whatsitworth-select.pdf"><em>among people who are employed full-time</em></a>.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">Want to guess who is having an easier time finding a full time job after college?&nbsp; The Engineer or the Pysch major?</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">The basic issue here is that the loan availability is not actually helping to direct students into things that are actually profitable.&nbsp; It should not be possible --- i.e., under no conditions should such a person be able to get a loan, since they'll never be able to pay it back --- for a person at a lower quality university to go on to get a psych major.&nbsp; Someone who wants to and can pay for it on their own - fine.&nbsp; Someone who wants to be a psych major at Harvard - fine.&nbsp; But there are some major/university combinations that are the equivalent of swampland in Florida and unsuspecting 18 year olds are being allowed to mortgage their future to buy it.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">That is not to say that we should get rid of student loans.&nbsp; We should just make them <em>conditional on what major the person wants to select</em>.&nbsp; Majors with a clear career path for professions that are in high demand --- great, give out those loans for sure.&nbsp; Engineering, Mathematics &amp; Computer Science, Hard Science, <a href="http://www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/socialscience.pdf">Economics</a> (median $70,000 with an expected 50% boost from going on to get a graduate degree) are all great majors.&nbsp; We should stop loaning people money and enabling them to make worse choices which burden them with debt and risk the government's finances.&nbsp;</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">As <em>The Daily Stag Hunt</em> argued earlier: <a href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/pursuits/2012/3/28/learn-math.html"><em>learn math</em></a>.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">--- Stag Staff</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack">&nbsp;</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Badly Behaving Banks</title><category term="Banking"/><id>http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/26/badly-behaving-banks.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/26/badly-behaving-banks.html"/><author><name>Stag Staff</name></author><published>2012-04-26T12:44:54Z</published><updated>2012-04-26T12:44:54Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>Dear Readers,</p>
<p>It is safe to say that <em>The Daily Stag Hunt</em> has a while before most would identify it as an outlet of Occupy Wall Street propaganda, or as a new version of <em>Pravda</em>, but...</p>
<p>... <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/26/business/chasing-fees-banks-court-low-income-customers.html?_r=1&amp;hp">this is ridiculous</a>:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>An increasing number of the nation&rsquo;s large banks &mdash; U.S. Bank, Regions  Financial and Wells Fargo among them &mdash; are aggressively courting  low-income customers like Mr. Wegner with alternative products that can  carry high fees.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Why might that be?</p>
<blockquote>
<p>In the push for these customers, banks often have an advantage over  payday loan companies and other storefront lenders because, even though  banks are regulated, they typically are not subject to interest rate  limits on payday loans and other alternative products.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Now, I am sure there is a perfectly good reason why banks do this sort of thing, which they can offer in their defense.&nbsp; Additionally, they are just trying to make money --- which is, after all, what you do in a capitalist society.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Nevertheless, <em>come on guys</em>, you are going to get all of us pitchforked.&nbsp; This looks bad.&nbsp;</p>
<p><img style="cursor: -moz-zoom-in;" src="http://robertgraham.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/russian-revolution-1917-granger1.jpg" alt="http://robertgraham.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/russian-revolution-1917-granger1.jpg" width="300" height="256" /></p>
<p>--- Stag Staff</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Need a Car?</title><category term="Jesus"/><id>http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/25/need-a-car.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/25/need-a-car.html"/><author><name>Stag Staff</name></author><published>2012-04-26T02:08:39Z</published><updated>2012-04-26T02:08:39Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>... well, here's <a href="http://seattle.craigslist.org/sno/cto/2977737272.html">one</a>.</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Email of the Day</title><category term="Apple"/><category term="China"/><category term="Occupy"/><category term="This American Life"/><id>http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/24/email-of-the-day.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/24/email-of-the-day.html"/><author><name>Stag Staff</name></author><published>2012-04-24T21:15:09Z</published><updated>2012-04-24T21:15:09Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>Dear Reader,</p>
<p>I got this email today (below) which is well worth pondering.&nbsp; However, given the source, it is also important to place about a 50% probability that it is true.&nbsp; The subject of this long email train: can Apple keep up their current profitability and growth (CNN: <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2012/04/24/technology/apple-earnings/index.htm?hpt=hp_t1">Apple Doubles Profit</a>)?</p>
<p>The Reply: &nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
<blockquote>
<p>Apple will continue to grow exponentially like a <a href="http://southparkstudios.mtvnimages.com/shared/characters/non-human/trapper-keeper.jpg" target="_blank">trapper keeper</a>. What they are is the artichoke dip of the consumer electronics. <br /> Artichoke dip makes a living because they have found a way to charge  people a premium to eat a mayonnaise &amp; cheese sauce and yet not feel  guilty about it. It does this by packaging it as an "artichoke" dip.  Apple makes a living because they have found a way for developed  countries to eat Chinese people's souls and yet not feel guilty about  it. They do it by packaging it as an "Apple" product. <br /> <br /><img src="http://breakthrougheurope.org/blog/Chinese%20Assembly%20Line.jpg" alt="Inline image 1" /></p>
</blockquote>
<p>Note that the photograph was included as part of this message.&nbsp; I have no idea if that is actually an Apple factory or not.&nbsp; So, before you pass it around the internet --- <em>"My God!&nbsp; Apple Secrets Revealed!"</em> --- remember that the person who sent this to me once claimed that Settlers of Catan (published in 1995) was made just after the Second World War to rebuild German family life.&nbsp;</p>
<p>See previous article about <a href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/3/18/apple-and-this-american-life.html">Apple and "This American Life."</a></p>
<p>Nevertheless, the author of this email makes a good point.&nbsp; Apple - since it is "cool" - can do all kinds of things.&nbsp; Take, for example, <a href="http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/sydney-nsw/anti-corporation-protestors-hang-on-to-their-iphones/story-e6freuzi-1226168221784">this article</a> from <em>The Telegraph</em> showing "Occupy" protesters with their iphones; there are a large number of similar stories and photographs available with an easy Google search.&nbsp;</p>
<p>--- Stag Staff</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Towards perfect competition</title><id>http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/24/towards-perfect-competition.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/24/towards-perfect-competition.html"/><author><name>Stag Staff</name></author><published>2012-04-24T16:21:07Z</published><updated>2012-04-24T16:21:07Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<div>Dear Reader,</div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div>&nbsp; A long time ago, in what feels like a galaxy away, your not-so-humble correspondent fondly remembers sitting in his introductory economics class and learning the virtues of perfect competition. &nbsp;Pareto optimality! &nbsp;Such efficiency! &nbsp;What elegance!</div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div>&nbsp; Sadly, however, hand wavey paeans to capitalism notwithstanding, it's hard not to notice the glaring gap between the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perfect_competition">theoretical assumptions</a> of perfect information, zero transaction costs, infinite participants, and perfect factor mobility, to name a few, and the realities of the, you know, actual economy.</div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div></div>
<div>&nbsp; Yet that world is changing; the advent of the internet and the nascent ubiquity of information has <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/22/magazine/is-this-really-the-golden-age-for-inventors.html?_r=1&amp;ref=magazine&amp;utm_source=dlvr.it&amp;utm_medium=twitter">shifted the landscape</a> in which free enterprise competes:</div>
<blockquote>
<div>
<p>In the past, someone with a new idea would have had to actually build the thing themselves, find a market for it and figure out how to get it mass-produced. Now inexpensive technology means that anybody can quickly transform an idea into a physical product. Google SketchUp makes it easy for even the sloppiest untrained draftsperson to mock up a 3-D digital model. Any inventor can contact a Chinese factory, many of which are so hungry for American business that they will create a prototype for next to nothing. Sites like&nbsp;<a href="http://etsy.com/" target="_">Etsy.com</a>&nbsp;make it easier to reach a market, and others, like&nbsp;<a href="http://quirky.com/" target="_">Quirky.com</a>, allow users to simply suggest an idea and share the royalties if it makes it to the market.</p>
<p>This environment approaches the ideal economy that Adam Smith wrote about &mdash; one in which size and power don&rsquo;t always beat good ideas in the market.&nbsp;</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p>&nbsp; File as another data point supporting the hypothesis that the<a href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/pursuits/2012/2/16/are-the-90s-techno-visionaries-being-proven-right.html">&nbsp;90's techno-visionaries are slowly but surely being proven right</a>.</p>
<p>&nbsp; Yet our institutions -- notably patent law -- have decidedly not kept pace:</p>
<blockquote>
<p><span>These days, the average costs for a patent are about $10,000 &mdash; chump change for a corporation, but a considerable amount for many home inventors.</span></p>
</blockquote>
<p>&nbsp; Even with pro-bono legal shops set up to help would be inventors, the odds are still stacked against our intrepid innovators in favor of big capital:</p>
<blockquote>
<p><span>It costs around $1 million to defend a patent-infringement lawsuit, Romer says. So even if a lone inventor has a legitimate patent claim, a large company can sue and force the person into bankruptcy.&nbsp;</span></p>
</blockquote>
<p>Anyone else <a href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/politics/2011/12/29/a-new-progressivism.html">down for a New Nationalism</a>?</p>
<p>Cheers,</p>
<p>Stag Staff</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Of Quants and Men</title><id>http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/20/of-quants-and-men.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.dailystaghunt.com/markets/2012/4/20/of-quants-and-men.html"/><author><name>Stag Staff</name></author><published>2012-04-20T16:36:55Z</published><updated>2012-04-20T16:36:55Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>Provocative reporting from the<a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/0664cd92-6277-11e1-872e-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1oEeYcqi8"> Financial Times</a> on UCL's Financial Computing Centre:</p>
<blockquote><span>As of this winter, the centre had about 60 PhD students, of whom 80 per cent were men. Virtually all hailed from such forbiddingly numerate subjects as electrical engineering, computational statistics, pure mathematics and artificial intelligence. These realms of knowledge contain concepts such as data mining, non-linear dynamics and chaos theory that make many of us nervous just to see written down. Philip Treleaven, the centre&rsquo;s director, is delighted by this. &ldquo;Bright buggers,&rdquo; he calls his students. &ldquo;They want to do great things.&rdquo;</span></blockquote>
<blockquote><span>...</span></blockquote>
<blockquote>Deciphering such patterns is what excites collaborators with the Financial Computing Centre who are more interested in stabilising the markets than beating them. Zheludev&rsquo;s supervisor is David Tuckett, a psychoanalyst at UCL who studies the interplay of emotion and the unconscious in trading decisions. He told me that the database could, if used properly, allow us to see our exaggerated hopes and paranoias for what they are, before they grow to overwhelm us. &ldquo;If you think about it like the sea,&rdquo; said Tuckett, of the torrents of digital information that we produce each day, &ldquo;can we identify narratives when they are not yet at the surface? Can we learn about how they come and go?&rdquo;</blockquote>
<blockquote>
<p>As Tuckett spoke, I began to believe in the idea of quants enabling us to digest the world in more rational ways, to become, in a sense, better versions of ourselves. &ldquo;We are not interested in a world that is completely without excitement or volatility,&rdquo; said Tuckett, &ldquo;But we are interested in getting a handle on things before they get out of hand.&rdquo; The paradox is that in order to become safer, in order to become better informed, we will have to continue to place ever more faith in brains and machines that we only begin to understand. It is always easy to start. The problem is knowing when to stop.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>#LearnMath</p>
<p>H/T Tyler Cowen</p>]]></content></entry></feed>
